Good morning. I'm monitoring 2 active strategies and 3 markets. All current trade proposals have been pre-screened for positive edge. What would you like to do today?
01:08 PM
I think the market is too optimistic about Apple's iPhone sales. Find me a shorting opportunity.
01:10 PM
search_markets("Apple iPhone sales 2026")→ 3 markets found
filter_by_edge(min_edge: 0.05, exclude_negative: true)→ 1 positive-edge market
calculate_true_cost(size: $500, side: NO, price: $0.82)→ Net edge: +14.2¢
Found a positive-edge opportunity. Apple iPhone 17 market is pricing 82% probability — significantly above supply chain consensus of 60–65%. Edge ~20¢ before costs. Negative-edge alternatives were filtered out.
Trade Proposal
✓ Positive EdgePolymarket
Will Apple iPhone 17 sell over 100M units in Q1 2026?
Side
NO
Amount
$500
Price
$0.82
Market prices 82% probability. Supply chain data and analyst consensus suggest 60–65% is more realistic. Shorting YES at 82¢ with raw edge of ~20¢ before costs.
Live Cost Preview
Cost: 0.9%▲ Edge: +21.9¢
01:10 PM
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